Sports Betting Fundamentals – How to Win Big With Prop Bets

There are many ways to bet on sports, including moneylines, spreads and parlays. But, for those who want to take their betting game to the next level, prop bets can offer some serious profit potential. Prop bets, or proposition bets, are wagers that have specific outcomes based on statistics and data, such as a player’s number of catches or a team’s total points. These types of bets can have more complex odds than standard point spreads, but they also tend to pay out higher winnings.

Aside from the countless strategies, tips and tricks online, there are some fundamentals that every bettor should follow to increase their chances of success. These include discipline (i.e., not betting more than you can afford to lose), research and seeking advice from winning sports bettors.

If you’re new to the world of sports betting, it’s a good idea to open a separate bank account specifically for this purpose. This way, you can keep track of your overall returns. Keeping track of your bets can help you learn about the best and worst bets, and it can help you find better lines.

It’s also a good idea to investigate each sportsbook before making your first wager. You should look for the sports that they offer, the types of bets you can place, and the payouts they promise. Also, look at the odds and payouts on each bet to see how competitive the prices are.

Using statistical models to analyze teams and individual players is crucial for making informed bets. One particularly useful stat is Pythagorean wins, which calculates a team’s total number of wins, losses and draws in a season. The formula takes into account the margin of victory as well, which is a much more accurate measure of a team’s strength than just the number of outright victories. Using this stat, from 1988 to 2004 the Super Bowl winner was always the team with the highest number of Pythagorean wins.

Another important thing to remember is that sportsbooks have spent decades evaluating hundreds of thousands of sporting events. This means that they have sophisticated software and programs to find the most efficient lines. It’s therefore all but impossible to win long-term by simply hoping that you’re right about a particular outcome. Instead, you should focus on finding positive expected value bets.

If someone claims to be a profitable sports bettor, always ask them to break down their success in terms of ROI. This shows that they understand the concept of Return on Investment and are not just blowing smoke. It’s also a good way to vet their knowledge and skill levels: If they can’t explain their success in these terms, then they don’t know what they’re talking about.